Mount Logan Capital Stock Performance

MLCI Stock   5.17  0.24  4.44%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.02, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Mount Logan returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mount Logan is expected to follow. At this point, Mount Logan Capital has a negative expected return of -0.59%. Please make sure to verify Mount Logan's value at risk, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and day typical price , to decide if Mount Logan Capital performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Mount Logan Capital has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.44)
Five Day Return
(13.40)
Year To Date Return
(37.10)
Ten Year Return
10.23
All Time Return
10.23
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0199
Payout Ratio
0.045
Last Split Factor
1:3
Forward Dividend Rate
0.12
Dividend Date
2025-12-11
1
Mount Logan Capital Inc. to Participate in the Northland Capital Markets Growth Conference on December 16, 2025
12/02/2025
 
Mount Logan dividend paid on 11th of December 2025
12/11/2025
2
Mount Logan Capital Inc. Commences Self Tender Offer to Purchase up to an Aggregate 15 Million of its Common Stock
12/29/2025
3
Mount Logan Capital Third Quarter 2025 Investor Fact Sheet - MarketScreener
01/05/2026
4
Mount Logan Capital Inc. Prices 40.0 Million Senior Notes Offering
01/16/2026
5
Mount Logan Capital Inc. Announces Preliminary Results of Tender Offer
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow90.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-28.7 M
Free Cash Flow27.8 M

Mount Logan Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  760.00  in Mount Logan Capital on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (243.00) from holding Mount Logan Capital or give up 31.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. Mount Logan Capital is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.2923% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 29% of stocks are less volatile than Mount, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mount Logan is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.41 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.18 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Mount Logan Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mount Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.17 90 days 5.17 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mount Logan to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Mount Logan Capital probability density function shows the probability of Mount Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.02 . This indicates Mount Logan Capital market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mount Logan is expected to follow. Additionally Mount Logan Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mount Logan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mount Logan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mount Logan Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mount Logan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.765.038.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.755.028.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.394.667.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-3.375.9415.25
Details

Mount Logan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mount Logan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mount Logan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mount Logan Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mount Logan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Mount Logan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mount Logan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mount Logan Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mount Logan Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mount Logan Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mount Logan Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mount Logan Capital Inc. Announces Preliminary Results of Tender Offer

Mount Logan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mount Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mount Logan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mount Logan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments203.7 M

Mount Logan Fundamentals Growth

Mount Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mount Logan, and Mount Logan fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mount Stock performance.

About Mount Logan Performance

By evaluating Mount Logan's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Mount Logan's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Mount Logan has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Mount Logan has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.11 

Things to note about Mount Logan Capital performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mount Logan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mount Logan Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mount Logan Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mount Logan Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mount Logan Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mount Logan Capital Inc. Announces Preliminary Results of Tender Offer
Evaluating Mount Logan's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mount Logan's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Mount Logan's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mount Logan's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mount Logan's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mount Logan's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mount Logan's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mount Logan's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mount Logan's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mount Logan's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mount Logan's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Mount Logan's price analysis, check to measure Mount Logan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mount Logan is operating at the current time. Most of Mount Logan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mount Logan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mount Logan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mount Logan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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